Hi ZS, assuming that whether or not one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, in any case?) is independent from winning or losing on any other scratch ticket, you treat each event as an independent event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent ordeals. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Propensity the chance of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets when (if it is exactly what your issue is asking) must be (2/3)^30 = approximately 0.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 the particular 10 million, which amounts to 1 chance out of 192,307.
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